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Valentina's avatar

This is very elegant, and I want to push on The Before, because that’s where it tends to break.

Most teams can’t actually reconstruct what they believed before the metric moved. They reconstruct what they wish they had believed, in a way that makes The Reveal land well. The Before becomes whatever sets up the cleanest So What — kind of a narrative survivorship bias.

Which suggests the real discipline is upstream: writing The Before… well, actually before :)

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